Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Actuarial Discussion Forum > Finance - Investments
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions

US LIFE, ANNUITY AND INVESTMENT JOBS

Finance - Investments Sub-forum: Non-Actuarial Personal Finance/Investing

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-06-2004, 09:12 AM
Bill the Catuary's Avatar
Bill the Catuary Bill the Catuary is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 112
Default Geometric Brownian motion

Does anyone know the answer to the following?

http://actuary.ca/phpBB/viewtopic.php?t=40523

Your help would be much appreciated!
Thank you!
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-19-2004, 09:10 AM
Michael Davlin's Avatar
Michael Davlin Michael Davlin is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Haymarket, VA
Posts: 2,608
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill the Catuary
For the processes that incorporate time dependency into the a and b functions, does it follow that the logarithm of the underlying variable follows a generalized Wiener process (as for the strict definition of GBM)?
I think your question can most easily be answered if you attack it in the opposite direction. If y = e^x and x follows the Ito process:

dx = a(x, t)dt + b(x, t)dz

then an application of Ito's Lemma proves that:

dy = y [(a(ln y, t) + 1/2 b^2(ln y, t))dt + b(ln y, t)dz].

While exactuary is correct about terminology (geometric brownian motion is defined to have constant drift and volatility), the above SDE for y is certainly a generalization of GBM.

Working from the other direction, if x = ln y, and:

dy = a(y, t)dt + b(y, t)dz,

then:

dx = (a(e^x, t) - 1/2 b^2(e^x, t))dt + b(e^x, t)dz].

The confusing thing about this is the fact that, for SDEs, dy / y != d ln y; those expressions are equivalent only for ODEs. In general, exponentiating a general Ito process results in something that looks like a generalized GBM with an upward drift adjustment, while taking the log of a general Ito process results in another general Ito process (which looks nothing like a GBM) with a downward drift adjustment.

And, yes, there are interest rate models in use which assume time varying drift and volatility.
__________________
The road to hell may be paved with good intentions, but the road to the Gulag, like the road to Auschwitz, was paved with syllogisms. --- Lee Harris
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.25256 seconds with 6 queries